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Day Trading Forex Market Behaviour
Technology advances like the internet have spawned a new craze, where anyone with a secure internet connection prepared to undertake a small amount of training can engage in trading foreign exchange on the forex market.
Just as a day trader will closely track stock price movements on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, all over the world forex traders monitor currency fluctuations in a similar fashion.
Forex traders have the aim of using the smallest amount of one currency, say the US dollar, to purchase another currency like the British Pound. If supply of the pound lessens in a busy market, it will cost more dollars to buy pounds, and the forex trader hopes to sell their pounds at a higher than their purchase price. In many respects, this type of trading behaviour is very similar to trading in stocks, where the aim of nearly all traders is to buy low and sell high.
The trading process works under a bid/ask system. In the above example, a forex trader might bid 10 dollars in return for 5.7 British pounds, and the seller of the pounds could be asking 11 dollars for the same amount of pounds. If the seller accepts the bid, the trader then hopes the pound continues to increase in price, so that when time comes to sell, they can get in excess of the 10 dollars initially paid.
As only registered traders have access to this auction process, most online speculators will trade through a bank or broking house. Such brokerages charge a commission for facilitating the trades, and forex traders should consider these transaction costs when calculating their selling offer when time comes to exit their position, as this will influence their profit margin.
The global foreign exchange market can trade in excess of a trillion dollars a day. Sheer market size means there is considerable money to be made, and lost, through miscalculation. It is neither a guaranteed, nor easy path to riches, so traders should be educated in how to play the market. Instructional packages are available, and should be carefully reviewed as they can easily range in quality and price.
About the Author: Jay Moncliff is the founder of http://www.forexadvise.info a website specialized on Forex, resources and articles. This site provides updated information on Forex. For more info on Forex visit: http://www.forexadvise.info
Pivot Points in Forex: Mapping your Time Frame
It is useful to have a map and be able to see where the price is relative to previous market action. This way we can see how is the sentiment of traders and investors at any given moment, it also gives us a general idea of where the market is heading during the day. This information can help us decide which way to trade.
Pivot points, a technique developed by floor traders, help us see where the price is relative to previous market action.
As a definition, a pivot point is a turning point or condition. The same applies to the Forex market, the pivot point is a level in which the sentiment of the market changes from "bull" to "bear" or vice versa. If the market breaks this level up, then the sentiment is said to be a bull market and it is likely to continue its way up, on the other hand, if the market breaks this level down, then the sentiment is bear, and it is expected to continue its way down. Also at this level, the market is expected to have some kind of support/resistance, and if price can't break the pivot point, a possible bounce from it is plausible.
Pivot points work best on highly liquid markets, like the spot currency market, but they can also be used in other markets as well.
Pivot Points
In a few words, pivot point is a level in which the sentiment of traders and investors changes from bull to bear or vice versa.
Why PP work?
They work simply because many individual traders and investors use and trust them, as well as bank and institutional traders. It is known to every trader that the pivot point is an important measure of strength and weakness of any market.
Calculating pivot points
There are several ways to arrive to the Pivot point. The method we found to have the most accurate results is calculated by taking the average of the high, low and close of a previous period (or session).
Pivot point (PP) = (High + Low + Close) / 3
Take for instance the following EUR/USD information from the previous session:
Open: 1.2386
High: 1.2474
Low: 1.2376
Close: 1.2458
The PP would be,
PP = (1.2474 + 1.2376 + 1.2458) / 3 = 1.2439
What does this number tell us?
It simply tells us that if the market is trading above 1.2439, Bulls are winning the battle pushing the prices higher. And if the market is trading below this 1.2439 the bears are winning the battle pulling prices lower. On both cases this condition is likely to sustain until the next session.
Since the Forex market is a 24hr market (no close or open from day to day) there is a eternal battle on deciding at white time we should take the open, close, high and low from each session. From our point of view, the times that produce more accurate predictions is taking the open at 00:00 GMT and the close at 23:59 GMT.
Besides the calculation of the PP, there are other support and resistance levels that are calculated taking the PP as a reference.
Support 1 (S1) = (PP * 2) - H
Resistance 1 (R1) = (PP * 2) - L
Support 2 (S2) = PP - (R1 - S1)
Resistance 2 (R2) = PP + (R1 - S1)
Where , H is the High of the previous period and L is the low of the previous period
Continuing with the example above, PP = 1.2439
S1 = (1.2439 * 2) - 1.2474 = 1.2404
R1 = (1.2439 * 2) - 1.2376 = 1.2502
R2 = 1.2439 + (1.2636 - 1.2537) = 1.2537
S2 = 1.2439 - (1.2636 - 1.2537) = 1.2537
These levels are supposed to mark support and resistance levels for the current session.
On the example above, the PP was calculated using information of the previous session (previous day.) This way we could see possible intraday resistance and support levels. But it can also be calculated using the previous weekly or monthly data to determine such levels. By doing so we are able to see the sentiment over longer periods of time. Also we can see possible levels that might offer support and resistance throughout the week or month. Calculating the Pivot point in a weekly or monthly basis is mostly used by long term traders, but it can also be used by short time traders, it gives us a good idea about the longer term trend.
S1, S2, R1 AND R2...? An Objective Alternative
As already stated, the pivot point zone is a well-known technique and it works simply because many traders and investors use and trust it. But what about the other support and resistance zones (S1, S2, R1 and R2,) to forecast a support or resistance level with some mathematical formula is somehow subjective. It is hard to rely on them blindly just because the formula popped out that level. For this reason, we have created an alternative way to map our time frame, simpler but more objective and effective.
We calculate the pivot point as showed before. But our support and resistance levels are drawn in a different way. We take the previous session high and low, and draw those levels on today's chart. The same is done with the session before the previous session. So, we will have our PP and four more important levels drawn in our chart.
LOPS1, low of the previous session.
HOPS1, high of the previous session.
LOPS2, low of the session before the previous session.
HOPS2, high of the session before the previous session.
PP, pivot point.
These levels will tell us the strength of the market at any given moment. If the market is trading above the PP, then the market is considered in a possible uptrend. If the market is trading above HOPS1 or HOPS2, then the market is in an uptrend, and we only take long positions. If the market is trading below the PP then the market is considered in a possible downtrend. If the market is trading below LOPS1 or LOPS2, then the market is in a downtrend, and we should only consider short trades.
The psychology behind this approach is simple. We know that for some reason the market stopped there from going higher/lower the previous session, or the session before that. We don't know the reason, and we don't need to know it. We only know the fact: the market reversed at that level. We also know that traders and investors have memories, they do remember that the price stopped there before, and the odds are that the market reverses from there again (maybe because the same reason, and maybe not) or at least find some support or resistance at these levels.
What is important about his approach is that support and resistance levels are measured objectively; they aren't just a level derived from a mathematical formula, the price reversed there before so these levels have a higher probability of being effective.
Our mapping method works on both market conditions, when trending and on sideways conditions. In a trending market, it helps us determine the strength of the trend and trade off important levels. On sideways markets it shows us possible reversal levels.
How we use our mapping method?
We at StraightForex (www.straightforex.com) use the mapping method in three different ways: as a trend identification (measure of the strength of the trend), a trading system using important levels with price behavior as a trading signal and to set the risk reward ratio (RR) of any given trade based on where the is the market relative to the previous session.
About the Author
Raul Lopez is the founder of www.straightforex.com A site dedicated to provide high quality training for Forex traders.
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Currency Forex Trading Systems-How Long Does It Takes For You To Become A Successful Forex Trader?
Most people approach the need to learn forex trading with a measure of trepidation or fear of the unknown. For those who are undergoing a period of self education and instruction by gathering relevant training materials and tools, and practising new skills in the comfort of home, one common question of the unknown would usually linger in their minds : "Would my self learning be sufficient to make me a successful forex trader?". For those who have chosen to learn under a mentor, a common question is this: "Will the mentor reveal all his secrets to me so that I, as the understudy, can trade successfully on my own?" Indeed, when will a novice trader be able to know exactly the timing of his metamorphosis from a learner to a skilled trader, and so that he can proceed to trade on his own? There are some who believe learning to forex trade is an effort that spans an entire life. This group of people believes that learning and education never stops. A forex trader reacts to the news, and to his setups, and trading is always different every day. To this group, learning is a lifelong process. They would look at their trades daily, analyse them to see what made certain trades work, and why certain trades were failures. In this manner, they are able to extract good lessons out of bad trades, and would become wiser, never to repeat these mistakes again. The main difficulty for this group of new traders is finding the most appropiate time for them to say, " I have learnt enough, and it is time for me to go into the battle field and to fight the good fight of the faith. I will start to trade!" Speaking from the viewpoint of a trading coach and a professional trader, here are two suggestions. Firstly, maintain a trading log even when you are learning to trade. This trading log will serves as your trading diary in which you record all your trades, even during the times of learning which may involve your paper trading or your testing of certain forex trading strategies. Record your personal experiences - why a simulated trade was taken, what was the prescribed action you should take based on the trade setup, and what was the outcome. In this way, you will be able to document and record your experiences, and be able to gain a high degree of confidence from seeing repeated results from taking certain stipulated action arising from similar trade setups. Secondly, you can adopt a cut-off point where you can start to trade on your own when after a period of paper trading, you find you are consistently having a higher win-loss ratio. In other words, when you find there are more winners than losers in your simulated trades and this is repeated consistently as recorded in your trading log or diary, you can consider moving out to trade on your own. Needless to say, in whatever self study, it is of the greatest importance that you find the most effective trading strategies and systems, and master not only the trade setups, but also your trading psychology, and be able to pull the trigger to trade. Learn from real traders, who are able to pass on their skills to you. You are there to trade, and convert the head knowledge into real trading skills. Peter Lim is a Certified Financial Planner. Learning to trade forex by following a course of self study based on the powerful secrets of price action strategies is never easier than NOW! Discover how to earn a 5 figure income by trading forex using 100% mechanical systems by visiting the author's blog at http://1forex-trading.blogspot.com | |
Today, the Forex market is the largest market in the world with more than 1.8 trillion dollars changing hands daily. With its attractive features like super liquidity, 24 hours market and better execution, it is also considered as one of the most striking and rewarding market. But is it very difficult to make money in the Forex market? Definitely not, provided you know all about Forex and currency trading. In the Forex market, if you look at the performance graph of Forex brokers, you will see that some traders succeed while others fail to trade successfully. The main reason is lack of proper trading knowledge. That means they are trading currencies but they don?t know all about Forex and currency trading. Therefore it is very important to know everything you can about Forex and currency trading before you start trading in the Forex market. If you want to know more about Forex and currency trading, start with fundamental analysis and technical analysis. These are two major things that will help you to understand when the market will move up, what is the right time to buy or sell currency pairs, how to gain more profits and what are the currencies to be traded. Fundamental analysis includes world news, studying variables like monetary and fiscal policy, political conditions, trade patterns, economic indicators, inflation rates, unemployment rates etc. On the other hand, technical analysis involves computer charting, using trend lines, support and resistant levels, reversals and numerous patterns, and studying the behavior pattern of market crowds to track and identify buying and selling opportunities. As you enter into the realm of knowing all about Forex and currency trading, you will have a good idea about the major currency pairs that are traded in the Forex market. Among all the traded currencies, currencies that are most liquid and often traded along with the US dollar are: European Euro
Japanese Yen
British Pound
Swiss Franc
Canadian dollar
Aussie dollar Generally the most commonly traded currencies are those of countries with stable governments, reputable banks and low inflation. As you gradually come to gain knowledge, you will understand that your success rate will be high if you follow the Forex trading system. The system has its own discipline that it follows rigorously. The system will let you know what are the trades that have greater rate of success and will send signals accordingly. The Forex market is global and it is a 24 hour market. You can access Forex market anytime; don?t worry if it is night at your place, it will be daytime in some other parts of the world and trade is ongoing over there. So if you know all about Forex and currency trading, you can easily use your online currency trading system and start trading. The major dealer centers and time zones are that of Sydney, Tokyo, London and New York. However, since the markets are interconnected, if any events occur at any hour, in any part of the globe, the investment community gets affected instantly. Trading successfully in the Forex market is not an easy task. However, if you know all about Forex and currency trading your success rate will be highly influenced. Paul Bryan operates Forex Reviews, News and Advice - A site aimed at bringing you the best and most independent Foreign Exchange information and articles. | |
As a Certified Financial Planner, I have often been amazed with the specific trades that a client, whom I shall call "Mr X" places in the forex and stock markets. His calls are almost always winners, which means his trading signals are very accurate. He does not trade every day, because his trades are based on the trading setups that he obtains, which is around 3 or 4 times every month or averaging a signal a week. Most interesting of all, he is consistently one day earlier in deciding whether there is going to be a trading move or not. He is a trader who is always timely with his entry and exit, which is highly remarkable. Needless to say, Mr X has been earning a 5 figure income from trading the forex market for years. How does Mr X do it so consistently? Firstly, he uses technical analysis and charting, and follow a trading concept called price momentum. Price momentum dictates that when a currency breaks out in price, the momentum will carry it in the same direction, until it falters and the momentum decreases, and finally comes to a stop. For Mr X, forex trading is a profitable game as he has perfected his entry and exit positions based on many years of trading experience in the direction of the price momentum. Once a currency has broken out of a price level and has indicated that it will continue in the same direction, Mr X will just make a purchase position. Conversely, when he sees the price momentum dropping, and touch a certain level that he has determined prior to the occurrence, he would be selling. In this way, setting a limit to the price momentum to ensure that it goes that direction and surpasses it, greatly enhances his profits, as this makes sure that he is not whiplashed. If the price momentum limit of a "X" number of pips is not exceeded, Mr X knows that the momentum is not strong enough to give him his profits, and he allows that signal to pass. This reduces his risk substantially, and sets him up for massive profits. Most popular currencies are capable of large swings, swings that are explosive and are sharp several times a month, and when you adopt a price momentum method, you are well placed to capture these explosive price movements and reap massive profits. There is of course a need to set a stop loss, because no trading system is foolproof. But when you do utilise a price momentum trading system, you will readily find forex trading to be largely profitable. It is so profitable that Mr X adopts the same principles in trading stocks as well, and with similar results. Indeed, trading price momentum can be your Forex Cash Cow Strategy. If you desire to see large profits in your trading, make price momentum a part of your trading arsenal. With the risk control limits in place, you can be like Mr X, raking in the profits consistently, month after month without a losing year.
Best Forex Trading Education
A qualified day trader will concentrate on the trade entry points as well as on the trade exit points. Market professionals have the same opinion that instability is unquestionably a plus for the day-trader. As the prices go up and down, the Forex day trader should be watchful as to when to sell his cash, stocks and currency or wait for the moment to hold on it. Do not trust advertising claims that promise fast and guaranteed profits from day trading. As a trader you will most likely fall into two most important categories - traders who like to trade the breakout and traders who like to enter the trend once established. Not all stocks are appropriate for Forex day trading. A beginner day trader should typically have day trading capital of at least $20,000 to begin, so this is not a business to embark on lightly. People who carry out day trading typically stay glued in front of their computer and watching which stocks have a quick turnover. If you are afraid that you will lose money, then maybe Forex day trading is not for you. Expert day traders recognize that lots of their trades will fail to meet the initial goal. People who try to day trade without knowledge of market basics frequently end up losing money. Can Forex day trading be learned? Day trading is equal to gambling and a number of brokerage houses have been responsible for exaggerating that day trading is safe and risk-free. There are two keys to constantly profitable day trading: one is having lots of various trades available. You should put into practice your day trading using a simulated trading system before using real money. The second key is that you need education in Forex trading. You must first learn how to trade Forex.
More information on forex trading system software
The Definition Of Forex Is Not "Easy Money"
The definition of Forex is: whenever one form of currency is traded in exchange of another. As with most things online the Forex market has become an opportunistic battlefield for small time people to make big bucks in selling hype. If you do a search for Forex online, you will likely find thousands if not millions of sites dedicated to showing you how to make money in the Forex Market. Most of them always claim the same thing, ?I?ll show you how to make 7 figures a year!? If you?re like me, you?ve grown so tired of seeing that headline, that you immediately hit the ?X? button when you see that title on a site. Personally I thank them for believing people are so gullible because it?s the only reason I have the job that I have. All day long I receive request for reviews of e-books, memberships, online opportunities and too many other things to name. Most of the time I?m bored out of my mind but the sheer repetition of the same re-canned junk. So you can imagine my delight when something that I?m reviewing is able to hold my childishly short attention span. By no means is trading on the Forex market an easy venture to understand, nor garner a seven figure income with ease (if it were that easy do you think they?d give it away for a few bucks?). But there are a handful of programs that truly teach you exactly how to go from newbie to earner in fairly short order. The latest program that came across my desk is called Forex Trading Machine and was developed by a guy named Avi Frister. He?s been a successful Forex trader for over 11 years and his system backs his expertise up. Most of the programs that are successful have found ways to maximize earnings while minimizing risk, and as far as I?ve seen, this is probably one of the most unique and profitable Forex systems available online.
Forex Trading Systems - Picking The RIGHT One To Make Big Profits
Forex trading systems are big business get the right one and you can make big currency profits and get the cost you paid back many times over. However, most forex systems don?t make money so you need to choose the right forex trading system and this is what this article is all about. 1. Track record You will see lots of claims made by vendors selling systems and it?s tempting to believe them. ?90% success rate? ?6 figure income guaranteed? And many more ? The first thing to do is ask for their track record. What have they made with the system? While this does not guarantee profits in the future it will show the logic of the system is soundly based and the vendor has confidence in it. If they don?t trade it why should you? Treat hypothetical track records with caution we can all make a profit if we know what the closing price was! 2. Pick a trend following system That?s longer term by nature ? day trading systems NEVER make money we have written frequently on this if you don?t know why read them. 3. Pick a simple system where the logic is revealed Why? Quite simply, if you don?t know how a system makes trades you will not have the confidence to follow it through inevitable losing periods. Confidence leads to discipline, which is an essential part of trading a forex trading system for profits. If you don?t have the discipline to follow a system you don?t have one at all! 4. Pick a simple system with a few parameters It?s a well known fact that simple systems with a few indicators work far better than more complicated systems. Why? Because, they are more robust in the face of brutal market conditions. 5. Beware of optimized systems There are systems that use different rules to trade different markets or currencies. These are frequent in hypothetical track records. The vendor can?t make the rules work on all currencies, so they optimize them and this leads to losses in the market 6. Check out the vendor It?s a fact that most forex trading systems are sold by people who have never traded and leads on from our point about looking for a real time track record. If they don?t have confidence to trade for real why on earth would you want to take their advice? These are just a few tips to follow when choosing a forex trading currency system, they don?t guarantee success, but they will certainly put the odds in your favor for finding a good one. Forex systems can and do make money, but it is all about getting the right one so spend some time doing some shopping around. A FOREX TRADING SYSTEM WITH REAL TIME SUCCESSFUL TRACK RECORD On all aspects of becoming a profitable trader including info about legendary trader W D Gann who made a $50 million fortune trading go to our website for an exclusive real time profitable Trading system visit our website at http://www.net-planet.org/index.html | |
FOREX ? The Foreign Currency Market - is the hottest trading market in the world today. When you learn FOREX currency trading online, you open the door to incredible investment results as well as diversification for your portfolio. You can easily see when you learn FOREX currency trading online that the FOREX has benefits that the stock market does not have. You can trade 24 hours a day, since the world currency market is always open somewhere. You can profit in up or down markets, since you do not have to wait for a downtick to trade short (or ?sell?). There are FOREX futures and options available as well, similar to options and future in the stock market. One of the biggest advantages of FOREX is that you have leverage not available to you in the stock markets. Your trades take place at leverage of 1:100 to as high as 1:200. This means that with $100 you control 10,000 worth of currency ? with the resulting profits and losses. By taking steps to learn forex currency trading online, will see that you can make significant returns eve using day trading, since the leverage available lets you get in and out of the market on even small moves. Of course, this level of leverage also opens you up to losses equally fast, but if you learn forex currency trading online from a reputable course, such as Trading Universe, you will have all of the tools to trade this market with confidence. FOREX being a worldwide market, the trading takes place online and your brokerage account, charting packages, tools and resources are all available at your fingertips. There are also FOREX trading courses online as well. By taking an online course that you can follow at your own pace, you will be able to go through the course at the same time you trade your free practice account to see the results as you learn. A course should offer a free practice account, along with complete lessons on how the market operates, trading signals you need to know, technical and fundamental analysis of the currency market, entry and pivot points, and money management techniques. You also want a course that has brokers available to answer questions and demonstrate the lessons. Not all courses are the same ? be sure to choose one to learn FOREX currency trading online that is complete, thorough, and gives you all the tools you need to make a profit in this exciting new market.
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